Sunday, December 8, 2019

Impeaching Trump Might Be Good For America


Yesterday as I was watching Nancy Pelosi urge the House Judicial Committee to file articles of impeachment a light bulb lit up in my head. 

I saw Democrats lick their chops. The left-leaning media could not resist showing their glee. Many Democrats appearing on TV expressed their joy. Rank and file Democrats gleefully exchanged high fives.

Republicans have been adamant in their stand. Democrats, in their view, are trying to undo the 2016 election because they do not like Trump and they cannot go past the fact that Clinton lost. Many of the investigations have been fishing expeditions in search of a potential crime or embarrassment. They see the Administrative State (AKA Deep State) complicit in these attempts. Some see it as nothing more than harassment.

The notion that it might be good for the nation started to loom clearly to me …

Here is my reasoning.

Democrats have been seething with anger and rage since November 2016. It has become an all-consuming affair. The shock of Clinton’s unexpected loss after being assured that Clinton’s win was in the bag was too hard to accept and too much to digest.

A call-to-arms ensued: resistance at all costs. In the Democrats’ mind, Trump was unworthy of the presidency. Trump’s style was obnoxious, his past unsavory, and he often behaved as a scoundrel. The future of the nation was surely in peril. They concluded that they should act quickly to prevent him from taking office or to remove him from office as rapidly as possible. Failing all that Trump should be defeated in 2020.

It was imperative that misdeeds by Trump should be found that would fit the definition of high crimes and misdemeanors.  Operatives and Never Trumpers were encouraged to come forth with anything that embarrassed him or that appeared to be inappropriate or illegal.

Democrats felt that they had to stop or slow down Trump’s agenda. Blue states launched numerous lawsuits to thwart or put an end to any executive actions by Trump. Sympathetic judges would be asked to issue nation-wide injunctions that would halt their implementation.

In early 2017 Representative Green suggested that the House approve articles of impeachment based on what Trump might have done or said prior to the election. The Resistance proponents advanced the notion that it was a high priority to look for offenses that might fit the definition of crimes and misdemeanors.

The Supreme Court nomination of Neil Gorsuch to replace Antonin Scalia was ominous but expected. The nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to replace Anthony Kennedy, however, was not. Democrats saw it as the death knell of hard won decisions. A vicious attack was launched to derail the nomination.

Democrats were hopeful that the Mueller investigation would prove collusion by the Trump campaign with the Russian interference in the election, and confirm the suspicion that Trump had obstructed justice in his interaction with and dismissal of Director Comey of the FBI.

Many were rubbed the wrong way by Trump’s style and approach. People did not like his personal attacks on people who disagreed with him. His constant use of twitter was decried and ridiculed. Career employees in the Administrative State (AKA the Deep State) were unhappy feeling by-passed or overruled on policy issues.

CNN’s and MSNBC’s evening news cycle was peppered with incendiary exclamation marks: Bombshell, Explosive, Revelation, Stunning, Extortion, Bribery, Intimidating, Game Over, Walls Are Closing In, and so on. All intended to affect the national audience. Many of the breaking news proved to be duds.  The public responded by turning off their TV. In November CNN’s viewership during prime time was a measly 318,000 viewers. MSNBC’s was about 650,000.

Several lawsuits initiated by the blue states have started to crumble as they worked their way up through the appeal process.

The Mueller Report found no collusion and was noncommittal on the obstruction of justice.

Then, miracle … the Ukraine fiasco surfaced. Democrats were infuriated. How dare Trump use foreign aid to gin up dirt on a Democratic opponent in 2020? This was surely an abuse of power. Trump has to go now or he would surely win a second term.

Republicans have stuck to their position. In their view, the inquiry witnesses, except one, were opinion witnesses who testified that they had no first hand information but they had heard from someone who had heard it from someone else. The exception was Ambassador Sondland. He twas a fact witness who testified that President Trump told him that he did not want a quid pro quo from the President of Ukraine except that he do his job.

The needle on the public opinion has not moved one millimeter. Democrats continue to use polls that show that the public is in favor of impeachment but the sampling is suspect and self-serving. Not a single Republican has joined what is seen as a partisan Democratic inquiry. Trump’s base is standing solidly behind him.

Thirty-four percent of African Americans have expressed a favorable view of Trump according to the Emerson and Marist polls. Many independents view the proceedings as a partisan fishing expedition. This does not bode well for the Democrats. African American traditionally are a rock solid voting block.

Nancy Pelosi’s urging of the Judicial Committee to draft impeachment articles prior to the completion of the inquiry is viewed as a rush to judgment. Many saw Pelosi’s news conference and entanglement with a reporter as panic and desperation.

Joe Biden challenge to an 83-year-old voter in Iowa, who questioned his mental acuity and conflict of interest in Ukraine, to take an IQ test or to do pushups, was ludicrous.  

Relax, Joe! You age is starting to show. BTW – I am several years Joe’s senior.

Time for Catharsis

After 3 years of resistance without anything to show for it except increased frustration, impeachment by the House would be a big win for Democrats. Never mind that it would die in the Senate. It would rekindle hope for better things to come. 

It is a time for cleansing and redemption … without it we cannot move on.

I hope that impeachment by the House will wash away some of the anger and diminish the amount of hate hurled at one another. 

Maybe we can get back to a more civil discourse. In the end, we all want the same thing … a better future for everyone!


Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Going Out On A Limb

It is a bit early to make predictions. Surprises will surely come. Based on what we know today it is not difficult to anticipate a Trump victory in 2020. 

I don’t believe that my take on the situation will sway anyone. People are pretty much locked into their position on both sides, and they are not ready to further examine the issue.

You might ask why then bother? The fun might come anticipating events clearly and with few if any pre-conceived notions.

After reading my piece, you might suggest that I must be smoking some funny cigarettes. Some of my best friends have accused me of being in denial or too biased to be objective.

We are all victims of our own paradigms but I am not the only one, I might add. Paradigms have a way of filtering out data that does not fit pre-existing notions.

My predictions are based on my personal and possibly flawed analysis of current events. I live in California where only one reality is permitted. Others be damned! It is quite possible that my own paradigm is making me blind to a more popular alternative.

Critical Incidents

Democrats began watching the 2016 election results with keen interest and anticipation. Arrangements had been made for glorious celebrations. Self-congratulatory messages were exchanged amongst the elite. It was in the bag! Hilary would win hands-down.

As results started to come in, Democrats could not believe what they were seeing. Trump had demolished the firewall in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. He would be the victor and Hillary the loser. Although the winner of the popular vote, Clinton would lose in the Electoral College. Clinton won the popular vote thanks to California and New York – two large states with a supermajority of Democrats.

Americans do not elect their presidents through a national popular vote. They elect their president on a state-by-state basis. Many Democrats see this as an undemocratic process, forgetting that America is a federation of states. Framers wanted to limit the power of more populous states over less populous states.

Democrats started attacking Trump immediately. He had not taken office yet … Resist at all costs was the battle cry. All kinds of allegations about Trump’s personal life started to dominate the evening news. Trump’s business dealings were assailed.  His character shredded into smatterings. Trump contributed to the brouhaha with his undisciplined twitting.

President Obama said prior to the election that Trump would never be president. Why did he say that? I suspect that he knew fully well that the Administrative State, AKA the Deep State, would not permit it.  He knew that the FBI, CIA and the ND apparatus would fight the result and cast doubt on Trump’s legitimacy and competence to hold office.

We now know that members of the Administrative State set in motion a variety of steps indented to delegitimize Trump’s election and to boot him out of office. Several high level members of the FBI have been either fired or quit after emails surfaced about an “insurance policy” to take down the newly elected president.

To start, the FBI relied on ill-gotten FISA warrants and upon the ill-gotten and manufactured phony Steele Dossier to cast doubts on Trump. This dossier was compiled at the behest of the Clinton camp. The Clinton campaign paid for the manufactured dirt.

The charge of Russian interference in our election came next. Even though the FBI concluded that it had no material effect on the election results, the Administrative State saw it as a means to bring into question Trump’s loyalty and motives. Trump’s attempt to quash this narrative was used to justify the appointment of a Special Counsel to get to the bottom of the allegations.

Diehard Democrat operatives rallied around the so-called resist, resists, resist camp, convinced that obstruction of justice had been committed and that the Trump campaign had coordinated with the Russians. He could not be trusted with the office of the Presidency. Former FBI Director Mueller was brought in as Special Counsel to investigate the whole affair.

Recent disclosure of statements by partisan attorney Mark Zaid illustrate that as early as January 2017 a cabal was in the making to attack Trump and eventually impeach him.

Zaid and his business partner are currently representing the whistleblower that accused Trump of a quid pro quo with the Ukraine President. That is, Trump asked for an investigation (the quo) of Joe Biden and his son in exchange for military assistance funds (the quid).  No such investigation has been launched prior or since the release of the assistance to Ukraine (no quo).

Democrats have been talking about impeachment prior to Trump taking office. Fishing expeditions have been launched hoping to find crimes and misdemeanors that justify articles of impeachment. Three House Committees have been busy working toward this objective: Oversight, Judicial and Intelligence. No smoking gun to date … only partisan witnesses who disagreed with the Administration’s policies or career staff not wanting to be shut out the policy making process.

Duds and Boomerangs

Almost everybody is acknowledging that the Steele Dossier was false. It was used improperly to secure warrants of Trump’s associates. Several FBI senior officers have already been fired or have resigned, following the Inspector General’s investigation.

The Mueller Report has debunked the Russian collusion and obstruction of justice charges.  Representative Schiff’s assertion that he had incontrovertible evidence of collusion has not materialized, thus leading many critics to accuse Schiff of lying.

The whistleblower’s story of the Ukraine quid pro quo has started to unravel. Representative Schiff lied that he or his committee had no prior contact with the whistleblower. We all know now that coordination did take place between Schiff’s office and the whistleblower.

The whistleblower has been unmasked for supposedly violating the protocol of contacting Congress before filing the charges with the Inspector General. Schiff’s credibility and veracity are in question again. Democrats point out that other whistleblowers have also consulted with Congress prior to filing charges with Inspector General. Voters are skeptical of the Democratic logic that two wrongs make one right

We have since learned that the whistleblower, a CIA operative, is a partisan Democrat who served in the Biden camp and who was booted out of the intelligence apparatus for alleged leaks. It turns out that the whistleblower has no first hand evidence of the phone call between Trump and the President of Ukraine.

Many other witnesses to the affair have indicated pretty much the same. Listening to the excerpted testimonies leaked to the press by Schiff one gets the impression that there was and still is a fight raging between the Administrative State (career civil servants) and the Trump Administration about policy changes and the degree to which the Administrative State should be involved or participate in policy formulation.

To debunk the accusations by the whistleblower and other partisan witnesses the White House released a transcript of the conversation between Trump and the President of Ukraine. It is obvious from the transcript that no condition (quo) was placed on the release of the economic aid (quid). Trump merely asked that an investigation be launched into Biden’s and his son’s actions back in 2016. 

Joe Biden’s son had managed to get an $ 80,000 per month retainer to serve on the board of a gas company, although he had no qualifications for such assignment. The Trump camp has made similar charges about Biden’s son involvement with companies in China. He is also mentioned regarding a $ 135 million loan he received while his dad was in office from the federal government.

We are told that a quid pro quo in economic assistance is a recurring practice to ensure that funds appropriated by Congress for foreign aid are used for their intended purpose and are not syphoned off by corrupt politicians or government officials.

Some legal experts believe that this practice is not an impeachable offense. Hence we are now witnessing the morphing of the impeachment language to bribery and extortion. Democrats look desperate. It seems that they are trying to find something more solid. To many their findings to date appear to be exaggerated and concocted.

Representative Schiff has become the villain in the impeachment process. Holding secret meetings has given the appearance of a Stalinist kangaroo proceeding. Schiff is conducting the inquiry as if it were a grand jury rather than what many believe is a political investigation. The GOP laments its inability to call witnesses that Schiff does not approve and the denial of fundamental due process steps.

The first public session of the impeachment inquiry featured two star witnesses, Kent and Taylor, who admitted that they had no first hand evidence of what was said during the phone call by Trump to the new president of Ukraine, but they had heard about it from people who had heard it from others.

The definition of a witness is “a person who sees an event, typically a crime or accident, take place.” Merriam-Webster suggest that someone who testifies that he or she has personal knowledge of something. Neither of the two so-called star witnesses fit either definition.

The second public session features a former ambassador to Ukraine who feels she was recalled unfairly. Never mind that the constitution permits the President to dismiss any ambassador with or without cause. Never mind that she was not involved in the July phone call that is the centerpiece of the investigation.  Representative Stewart asked the ambassador point blank if she had any proof that President Trump had committed any crimes. She answered: No!

One more time we heard from a witness who might have heard something from someone who heard from someone else. A subordinate of Taylor is also scheduled to testify that he heard Ambassador Sondland speak with Trump on the phone.

In the Kavanaugh fashion, when plan A (Taylor’s testimony) fails here comes plan B (a last minute witness) to the rescue. The allegation is that Sondland was speaking on the phone with the President in a noisy restaurant. Many question whether it was possible for the new “witness” to hear what the person on the other end of the conversation said.

In anticipation of the hearing on Friday Speaker Pelosi accused Trump of having committed bribery. The Supreme Court in a 1999 decision regarding a case of bribery “concluded that a person did not violate the law merely by giving a gift to a public official.” Prosecutors must show that there was a connection between a specific official act in the past and in the future and the act.” Ukraine did not investigate Joe Biden and his son or Burissma. In other words there was no quid for the quo (economic assistance). 

It looks like Pelosi is using words that more easily express what the legal term in Latin means. Most voters are not lawyers and do not know Latin. Or she might be trying to disconnect the quid from the unproved quo.

The last day of the Schiff teams’ inquiry featured two witnesses: Fiona Hill and Holmes (the person who heard Sondland speak with Trump). Hill’s testimony was not first hand. She was there to share her views about a variety of issues with which she had a bone to pick. As an expert witness Ms. Fiona failed to impress those on the right about her own versions of the events.

Recent news accounts describing the alleged whistleblower’s Go Fund Me activities are casting a potential violation of U.S. laws that prohibit members of the CIA to accept gifts of any kind. So far, it has been reported, that $ 250,000 has been raised from contributions from 6,000 donors. Republicans are using the revelation as an example of duplicity and corruption.


The Rashomon Effect

Rashomon is a 1950 film directed by Akira Kurosawa. It received many awards (Golden Lion in Venice, Best Foreign Film and the Academy Honorary Award). It is considered one of the greatest films ever made.

The plot involves various characters providing subjective, alternative, self-serving, and contradictory versions of the same incident.  The Rashomon Effect is named after the film. The stories in the film are mutually contradictory and even the final version may be seen as motivated by factors of ego and saving face.

The spectacle we are witnessing on TV will not change minds. Democrats will be all-in on impeachment while Republicans will stubbornly cling to the cabal theory.

What Happens Next?

Polls reveal that the public is not buying into either of the two narratives. Diehard Democrats will continue to portray Trump as an incompetent and out-of-control buffoon. Republicans will stick to their view that Trump is the victim of a hatchet job concocted by poor-loser Democrats and an unhappy Deep State keen on protecting its turf and privileges.

Trump’s approval rates are surging. Of considerable aghast for the Democrats, 35% amongst African Americans and about half of Hispanic Americans told the pollsters recently that they opposed impeaching the President. This is an ominous sign for the Democrats because African Americans and Hispanic Americans are supposedly their constituency. To make things worse, polls in the battle states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania show that most voters do not favor impeachment.

Looking ahead at least three possibilities emerge. 

Democrats will not come up with solid evidence of bribery and extortion, using the latest lingo, but insist on impeaching Trump anyway with the Senate rejecting the House’s conclusions. 

Voters realize that the impeachment inquiry is a politically concocted ruse to damage Trump’s chances for reelection and will give him a landslide win in 2020.

There is a face-saving alternative for the Democrats. Declare Trump’s action improper and censure him.

Based on your own political inclination, you can pick your choice.








Sunday, August 4, 2019

Tyranny by the Minority

Definition

Tyranny has been defined as “unlimited authority or use of power, or a government, which exercises such power without any controls or limits.” This definition applies to heads of governments or small groups of people.

Cases in Point

We are familiar with what tyranny by the majority looks like.

Laws are passed without input from the minority. Decisions are made that have a detrimental effect on the minority. Rights of the minority are ignored or trampled on the grounds that the majority approved it.

Two recent examples illustrate this point: one by the Republicans (tax cuts in 2018) and one by Democrats (Obamacare 2008).

California as a one party system is another great example. The Democrats rule the roost … Their super majority has made it easy to pass laws that fundamentally impact the rights of the minority when it comes to taxation and regulations.  The legislature is busy passing laws to dispense favors to its base – unions, public employees, and illegal immigrants, and so on at the expense of the taxpayer.

Hijacking the Majority

We were warned over the years to pay attention to vocal groups. Left to their devices, they will highjack a political party and jump in front of issue parades to steer them in a particular direction.

In my estimation, Progressives represent 30-40 percent of the Democratic Party. Conservatives represent 40-50 per cent of the Republic Party. These minorities on the right and left have a way of hijacking their party and shape its narrative and talking points.

Swept aside is what has been called the silent majority estimated at 55-60 of the electorate.  The fringe on both sides of the political spectrum tends to dominate the conversation.

The Monolith of Views

True believers inhabit the fringe on both sides. They are not interested in dialog. They know that they are right. And they unmercifully attack those who disagree with them using vitriol, ridicule and intimidation.

Here is how they do it:

·      By regulating speech – what is or is not politically correct.
·      By erasing or rewriting history or symbols.  
·      By suggesting conspiratorial or improper behavior by opponents.
·      By blaming or shaming the opponent into submission.
·      By resorting to violence and property destruction to make their point.

They do all this to impose their views. They do not want to hear anything that contradicts their argument. They condemn others’ free speech as being hateful.  They want to re-write the history of the western civilization, and downplay any accomplishments they deem ill gotten and greed motivated. They see no redeeming qualities in the symbols and memories their opponents revere. They lay blame at the opponents’ doorstep for all their real or imagined afflictions.

My Pet Peeve

In the heat of the battle, generalizations are used to paint the opponent in the worst way. By demonizing the opponent, humanity is denied, and broad brushed away. While espousing inclusion, we use racial distinctions as wedges to divide one another. While striving for harmony many advocate that white men be pushed aside and deemed toxic.

White men are lately lambasted for every ill or blemish in the national tapestry of multi-culturalism. Few if any of the white man’s redeeming qualities are espoused. They are described stereotypically as if all white men were the same. This generalization generates rancor amongst many white men and women who do not share similar histories.

Not all whites are WASPs (White-Anglo Saxon-Protestant). Many are Catholics, Eastern Orthodox, Jewish, Muslim, and non-believers. Not all whites owned slaves. Many Blacks owned slaves, by the way. Not all whites have a history of racial discrimination. Not all whites have benefitted from colonialism.

To paint all whites as racists, xenophobes, misogynists, homophobes, fascists, rich or privileged is wrong! Many have also suffered discrimination along the way. A few whites have been lynched for crimes they did not commit. Most proudly come from humble beginnings.

We are all proud of who we are, where we came from, and of our contribution to the nation, be it in the battlefield, the classroom, the court house, business or the halls of Congress.

Parallel Realities

You cannot lift your status by lowering someone else’s. You cannot gain respect by defiling some else’s. You cannot bury history, although you might want to rewrite it.

The silent majority avoids controversy. Its members do not demonstrate. The silent majority does not relish destroying private property or support estranged people on the rampage. It likes anonymity and shies away from the limelight. It chooses order over chaos, tranquility over warfare.

In the privacy of the voting booth, the silent majority expresses its views.  It ignores precedents and charts an unexpected direction.

Polls do not accurately capture the opinions and views of the majority because most people are unwilling or “afraid” to share them. Like we have been taught, “you can fool some of the people some of the time, but in the end you cannot fool them all the time.”

We live in parallel realities. Each reality is created to sooth a particular audience. We all know that most men are good and come in all colors. So why demonize the white male? What is the benefit and who is the beneficiary?

It is time to put a stop to identity politics. They are used to slice and dice the population for political gain. Let’s stop playing games with diversity.

We are at a crossroad.

We must choose. On one side, there is the less traveled road to civility and tranquility, and on the other, the popular finger-pointing road.

Time is of the essence! Our future rests in the balance.