The
Aftermath
There is an expression in poker that suggests that
there are two kinds of people who play the game. One laughs and has a great
time after winning a hand and raking in the winnings, while the other asks the dealer
for a new hand. The same happens, it seems, after an election.
The winner celebrates and gives speeches
congratulating everyone and basking in the glory. The loser, after conceding,
quietly disappears into the shadows only to ask for a recount the next day. This
season is no different.
Jill Stein, who received about 1% of the vote
nationally, asked for a recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. She
tells us that there is no evidence of wrongdoing, but that the count is
necessary to ensure the integrity of our voting system. Others suggest that a
recount makes sense because the victory margins were so small.
When the recount fails to deliver, there is one more
card to play: who got the most votes nationally. People consciously ignore the
fact that the U.S. is a federal republic with 50 states, and the Founding
Fathers instituted the Electoral College to prevent large (population or
physical size) states from bullying smaller states. They will tell you that the
system is undemocratic. They advocate
changing the ground rules blaming them for the loss.
Truth is that under different rules Trump’s strategy
would have been different and possibly yield the same end result.
Reality
The American voting process is notoriously antiquated
and the most troubled among the developed countries. Every election allegations
of abuses, real and imagined tantalize voters. Unlike other countries the U.S.
does not have a national photo I.D. card. Some suggest that the Social Security
card is a form of identification, but it lacks a photo and robust verify
mechanism.
Voter legislation varies from state to state. The voting
data collection methods range from paper to electronic. States with a checkered civil rights history
and states with notorious voter fraud history are suspect of vote manipulation
and other shenanigans in order to stuff the ballot box. Conspiracy theorists
construct a variety of circumstantial stories to support their theory.
It is a fact that voter rolls are not purged of dead
people. It is a fact that some people are enrolled to vote in more than one
state. It is true that absentee ballots can be easily manipulated. What we do
not know is the actual percentage of illegitimate votes.
A Little
History
The U.S. has a checkered past when it comes to voting.
Jim Crow tactics were used after the Emancipation
Declaration to keep African-Americans from voting in the South. Poll tax,
literacy tests, and other subterfuges have been used to disenfranchise
minorities and poor folks. In the Northern states more subtle ways have been
used to keep some voters from casting their vote, such as locating polling
places far away from were people live, scheduling voting hours while people are
still at work, physical intimidation, long wait lines, unsheltered waiting
areas during inclement weather, and so forth.
In later years, another method has been used to dilute
minority voting through gerrymandering districts or by bundling large minority
voters so that some minority candidates could more easily win the election. The
latter has been widely used in large urban areas where minorities are more
concentrated.
It is no secret that both political parties will try
to enact laws that give them a political advantage. The courts often are called
to rule against attempts to play games with the right to vote.
Let me advance my own observations, fully realizing
that my knowledge is limited and that my bias is toward a uniform national
voting regime with better verification methods.
Voter
Suppression
On the left, Democrats accuse Republicans of enacting
laws and regulations intended to suppress voter participation, principally the
vote of minorities and the poor. They argue that requiring voters to prove
citizenship can be a costly process for those who do not have ready access to
their birth or naturalization papers. Some do not have a valid driver license.
Therefore, asking to submit any of these documents is discriminatory and an
attempt at disenfranchisement.
On the right, Republicans will argue that federal
regulations require that travelers produce a passport or valid driver’s license
before they are allowed to board a flight. They describe their own inspired
regulations to be driven by fraud prevention.
Democrats agree that there are cases where people vote
multiple times, and in multiple states. They also acknowledge that some
non-citizens vote even though not eligible. But, in their view, the number is
so small as to be inconsequential.
We have seen cases where during the recount of a close
election a large block of votes appears out of nowhere to tip the scale in
favor of the candidate of the majority party in that state. The election of JFK
was supposedly the result of such manipulation by the Chicago Democrat machine.
Others will point out that the same was attempted in Florida during the Bush
versus Gore recount.
As we have seen in this and other elections, often the
margin between the winner and loser can be miniscule. On a local basis in fact,
the margin can be so thin that the winner has less than 10 more votes (Los Altos, CA 2016 City Council race).
Voter
Unconstraint
Republicans have suspected for years a hidden and
sinister agenda behind the Democrats’ push for open borders. Under the guise of
family re-unification, providing safe heaven, and filling hard-to-find skills
the Democrats are suspected of ulterior motives.
What better way to dilute Republican control of
certain jurisdictions than opening the border and letting people in that historically
will vote left? By engaging in identity politics, Democrats seem to favor
letting in those most likely to support their agenda.
During the last presidential election, the Democrat
Party positioned itself as the party of choice by the African-American, Latino,
LGBT, and college educated voters. Unfortunately, not all Latinos voted
Democrat, and many African-Americans did not show up to vote. To their chagrin,
Democrats ignored their traditional constituency – the working class. Clinton
offended this group of voters by using the pejorative term of a basket of
deplorables.
Another coup for unconstraint voting was permitting
illegal aliens to receive a driver’s license in eight states. In California
alone, over 800,000 such licenses have been issued. These licenses meet federal
regulations but have an apparently innocuous mark saying that the license does
not comply with some federal requirements. It is estimated that more than 2
million such licenses have been issued throughout the United States.
If you have such a diver’s license, you can vote in
most jurisdictions. No one will dare to challenge your right to vote. So potentially 2 million bogus votes can be
cast. Of course, not all will do so, but will enough take advantage of this
loophole and cast a vote? Sure! Estimates range from 20-30%. In California
alone this would account for 200,000-300,000 illegal votes. California has a
Latino population that exceeds 40%, not counting millions of illegals (the
so-called undocumented). Hillary Clinton received more than 2 million votes
than Trump in California. The state is heavily Democrat and pretty much a one
party state with the enactment of the open primary system.
California starting next year will automatically add
diver licensees to the voter roll. This surely will enable legal and illegal
aliens to cast their vote although ineligible to do so.
Where Next?
Loopholes, casual enforcement, outright fraud, and
system’s glitches will continue to fuel the need for reform. Streamlined
and verifiable procedures across state lines are essential. Surely, a country
as developed as the U.S. can come up with a better system that ensures that all
eligible voters can exercise their right to vote and knock off abuse and
chicanery.
Completely agree. I don't think the Federal Government can pass laws requiring definitive proof of citizenship as a criteria for voting. Only States can do that. But, the Federal Governmemt could issue national identity cards with photos, which would put pressure States to use it for voting. However, to do that effectively the Feds would have to have a right control on ensuring people are citizens before cards are issued. Doing this could, in theory, expose illegal aliens. So, the Fed Gov't would have to have an acceptable strategy for dealing with these people. Is obtaining a card a voluntary action or compulsory? Would anyone trying to get a National ID card and being identified as an illegal alien have repercussions? For those not obtaining an ID card, would there be penalties after some period of time, or would they just be ineligible to vote as the consequence?
ReplyDeleteA tamper-proof National ID with photo is not a bad idea -- after all, a Social Security number is a de facto, if very weak, national ID.
Still there are many questions about how to do this and, ultimately, it's not clear how it would impact voting in a States where it is likely there are a large number of votes cast by non-citizens.