Monday, April 4, 2016

The New Minimum Wage In California

California has enacted a bill raising the minimum wage from $ 10.50 to $ 15 per hour. The $ 15 minimum, however, will not be reached until 2022: in 2017 it would go up by 50 cents, and then one dollar each year until the $ 15 target is reached.  NY State has announced plans of raising the minimum wage to $ 15 by 2018 in the metropolitan area and at a slower timing in upstate.

Politicians, some workers, and labor unions celebrate this bill and publicize it as a big win.  Surely it should attract votes from marginal wage earners.  

In annual terms, this means: $ 21,840 in 2017, $ 22, 880 in 2018, $ 24,960 in 2019, $ 27,040 in 2020, $ 29,120 in 2021, and $ 31,200 in 2022. So over a 6-year period, the annual wage would increase by 43%.

Opponents of the increase in the minimum wage claim that many jobs will be lost. This might be true in the short term, but in the long term, experience has shown that the economy will absorb the increase and move on. However, with a high youth unemployment rate, in the short term, there might be a hiccup.

As an 18 year-old earning $ 1 per hour minimum when I entered the workforce, I was satisfied. I lived with my parents and the cost of living was much lower. Gas was 25 cents a gallon, a cup of coffee was 5 cents, a hot dog 10 cents, and so on.  With one hour’s work I could have lunch and drive 14 miles.

Anticipated Benefits

I was blown away to read that some 57% of the workforce earns less than $ 30,000 per year.  I would have guessed half of that.

Raising the minimum wage will be a boost for some, but it will not have a big impact on the poor – which constitute 7% of the population. 

Experience has taught us that some individuals might re-enter the workforce once the annual minimum wage exceeds welfare payments.


Living Wage

Some developed countries have moved from the minimum wage concept to the living wage concept. Australia has probably the most forward-looking philosophy, followed by some European countries.

After you deduct payroll taxes, net pay shrinks. No way can one say that it is a living wage. No way can these folks afford to live in the communities in which they work with minimum wage pay. Commuting will eat up another slice. 

For a minor living at home, the minimum wage might be OK. 

The original idea of a minimum wage was intended to establish a starting point for those entering the workforce, not an landing point. I do not think that it was meant to provide a living wage.

Things have changed … time to adjust to the 21st century.

One of today’s newspaper headlines in the San Francisco Bay Area laments the skyrocketing cost of rental housing. A one-bedroom apartment rents from $ 2500 to $ 5500 depending on location.

Questions

·      Why is it that we hesitate to do what is kind and just?  Surely the increase does not portent a calamitous impact on our economy!

·      Should it not a raising tide lifting all boats?  Or just yachts? The increase by all economic measures is not excessive.



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